For those of you keeping track of the unemployment rate and job creation at home (because it’s a lot of fun), you may have noticed something somewhat confusing.
The unemployment rate has declined two months in a row , but job creation has been very weak. Economists say the number of new jobs created during December and January was not even enough to keep up with the influx of new workers and population growth.
So how can the unemployment rate drop when there are clearly not enough jobs being added?
In December, the unemployment rate dropped from 9.8% to 9.4%. In January, it fell again to 9%. But employers only added 103,000 jobs in December and a mere 36,000 last month. Economists had predicted a growth of more than 140,000.
If there are millions of Americans who are collecting unemployment, and the nation only creates a couple hundred thousand jobs, it doesn’t take a mathematician to see that the the numbers just don’t add up.
There are a handful of reasons that there’s such a major discrepancy between unemployment and job creation.
The explanation you’ve probably heard most often is that people are giving up their search for work, or their unemployment insurance benefits have dried up because they’ve gone so long without a job. The unemployment rate only takes into account those Americans collecting unemployment.
So-called “discouraged workers” are not even considered to be part of the U.S. workforce.
It’s estimated that there are another 10-million Americans who are discouraged or underemployed. That would make the real U.S. unemployment rate about 17%.
If you look at it that way – a drop in the unemployment rate may not necessarily be a good thing.
Another thing you have to take into consideration is that when you look at both unemployment and job creation you’re essentially comparing apples to oranges.
That’s because two different groups are being surveyed.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics looks at individuals when it calculates the unemployment rate. But the government goes to businesses to find out how many jobs have been added each month.
That’s one big reason why the Bureau of Labor Statistics is now adding a new category to it’s monthly research… self employed workers.
For the first time, the jobs report released last Friday included the fact that there are around 14 million Americans who are self-employed. That’s way up from the last time the BLS looked into that information. Old data indicated around 9-million Americans were working for themselves.
It certainly appears that many frustrated people are no longer waiting for employers to increase hiring, and instead they’re creating their own jobs.

Sarah Horowitz
Sarah Horowitz, the executive director and founder of the Freelancers Union, says the employment picture in the U.S. is changing quickly.
“People are working gigs now, but the BLS is tracking jobs. They’re two different things,” Horowitz explained to the LA Times. “We are really moving towards a gig economy.”
That might be a smart idea, since regardless of the fact that corporate profits have been setting records, major employers have not been adding jobs. Some economists, like Robert Kuttner, say that’s because the major corporations “no longer need America’s workers.”
Writer Harold Meyerson talks about just that in a piece for Kuttner’s publication The American Prospect. He says recognizable corporations like General Electric, Apple and Hewlett Packard are creating more and more jobs overseas.
“In 2001, 32 percent of the income of the firms on Standard & Poor’s index of the 500 largest publicly traded U.S. companies came from abroad. By 2008, that figure had grown to 48 percent.”
You read that correctly. In 2008, nearly half of the money for paychecks from major U.S.-based corporations left this country.
Even when companies do add jobs – there’s just way too much competition. It’s estimated that for every job opening there is an average of nine people also in line for the job. So when you go in for an interview – you can expect to be competing against eight other applicants.
Take Google as one perfect example. The search engine giant recently announced that it was adding 6,000 jobs this year. Sounds great, right? The problem is that after Google made the announcement it received 75,000 applications in just one week!
The good news is, if the American people truly are working towards creating their own jobs, that may be the best way to boost job growth and the economy.
Small businesses typically lead the way in an economic recovery. Plus, a study by the Kauffman Foundation indicates startups create an average of 3-million jobs per year. That’s about four times more than any other group. In fact, the report’s authors says without job growth from startups there would have been negative job growth in all but seven years between 1977 and 2005.
(Read a PDF version of the Kauffman Foundation Report)
However, there are issues and risks with both becoming a freelancer and starting your own business. Entrepreneurs still need to figure out issues like health insurance and retirement planning. Not to mention the fact that most startup businesses do fail after the first couple of years.
But America has always been a nation of risk-takers, pioneers and crazy cowboys, heroes with heart. Even if big business and the government leave us hanging – let’s hope that the real Americans rise up once again.
For more on jobs creation in the news, check out the AP video below.
Image: Andy Newson / FreeDigitalPhotos.net Image Credit – catalin82
Kasey Steinbrinck writes about personal finances and the economy for Check Advantage. The online company offers cheap checks including QuickBooks checks for small businesses. Contact Kasey to request free original content for you blog or website.
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